Blog Archives

The end of the pandemic is in sight

All pandemics come to an end.  All pandemics feel endless at their peak, but then they end just as suddenly as they began. Today we can see yesterday’s Covid case count (which is the first one that should be normal

Posted in Health

The age of evidence

I am teaching statistics this semester and one of the striking things about a lot of statistics is how new it is. The standard deviation was introduced in 1892. The t-distribution was published in 1908. The term “central tendency” dates

Posted in Health, statistics

Why we have Extra Life today.

In the 1850s, upper royalty in England were living almost 70% longer than commoners. This graph shows average life expectancy for “ducal” families.  These were the highest rank of nobility, the dukes, just below the King’s nuclear family in the

Posted in Development, Health, statistics

How many lives did social distancing save?

Although we’ll never know exactly how many lives our masking and other social distancing saved from Covid, it is pretty sure that it saved over 30,000 lives from dying of the flu because the fatality rate from the flu dropped to

Posted in Health

VAERS has reported a huge spike in vaccine-related deaths. Is VAERS overstating the risks?

My sister informed me that she and the people she trusts are worried about new data coming from the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System, or VAERS, an official CDC database. There have been over 4,000 deaths within 30 days of

Posted in Health

How many Americans have had Covid-19? The answer explains why the infection rate will have to start dropping in the coming weeks.

As of yesterday 14.76million Americans had had Covid-19 as confirmed by testing and the numbers continue to spike due to holiday gatherings. That is only four percent of all Americans who have been confirmed to have had Covid-19 according to

Posted in Health

Some basic economics of the covid-19 pandemic

In 2007, the St. Louis Fed summarized research about the 1918 influenza pandemic and used it to predict what would happen in a pandemic like the present covid-19 crisis. Their predictions have been pretty accurate. For example, the report predicted

Posted in Health, Labor

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