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The BA.2 Covid variant is spiking. But it is still a good bet that the Pandemic will be over this spring.

Two months ago, I wrote that the pandemic would be over this spring. We are now officially in the second day of spring and my prediction does not look good at first glance because Covid BA.2 infections are spiking in

Posted in Health

The end of the pandemic is in sight

All pandemics come to an end.  All pandemics feel endless at their peak, but then they end just as suddenly as they began. Today the Covid case count is finally clearly down.  So Omicron has probably peaked in the USA

Posted in Health

The age of evidence

One of the striking things about statistics as a discipline is how new it is. The standard deviation was introduced in 1892. The t-distribution was published in 1908. The term “central tendency” dates from the late 1920s. The randomized controlled

Posted in Health, statistics

Why we have Extra Life today.

In the 1850s, upper royalty in England were living almost 70% longer than commoners. This graph shows average life expectancy for “ducal” families.  These were the highest nobility, the dukes, who ranked just below the King’s nuclear family in the

Posted in Development, Health, statistics

How many lives did social distancing save?

Although we’ll never know exactly how many lives our masking and other social distancing saved from Covid, it is pretty sure that it saved over 30,000 lives from dying of the flu because the fatality rate from the flu dropped to

Posted in Health

VAERS has reported a huge spike in vaccine-related deaths. Is VAERS overstating the risks?

My sister informed me that she and the people she trusts are worried about new data coming from the Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System, or VAERS, an official CDC database. There have been over 4,000 deaths within 30 days of

Posted in Health

How many Americans have had Covid-19? The answer explains why the infection rate will have to start dropping in the coming weeks.

As of yesterday 14.76million Americans had had Covid-19 as confirmed by testing and the numbers continue to spike due to holiday gatherings. That is only four percent of all Americans who have been confirmed to have had Covid-19 according to

Posted in Health

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